Course Description and Goals
Full course for one semester. This course investigates the origins and effects of the spread of all things nuclear. It discusses the
metaphysics and physics of nuclear technologies as well as the benefits and risks of nuclear power and weapons; investigates into why
and how states seek, obtain, and use nuclear technologies; examines the role of external influences (particularly networks) in helping
or hindering nuclear acquisition; and deliberates the risks of states and violent extremist organizations obtaining nuclear and other
weapons of mass destruction. Conference.
Requirements
Class Participation
Students are required to actively participate in the class; they will have the opportunity to do so both during and outside of classroom
hours. Good participation involves—among other things—listening carefully to others, referring or responding to the previous
speaker’s comments, and asking questions in addition to or instead of making statements. There is such a thing as bad
participation.This includes—but is not limited to—interrupting others, dominating conversations, and conducting ad hominem
attacks.
Starting Wednesday, every student should have a question or observation about at least one of the authors assigned for a given day. I
may call on you at any time during class to start a conversation with your question/observation. You may want to print it out or write it
down if you frequently can’t remember the brilliant observation you had. Students are encouraged, but not required, to turn in their
questions/observations to Moodle prior to the class; this is a very good way of demonstrating participation in the event that you
tend to listen more than speak in class. You may also participate by discussing the material online before or after the
class.
Class will typically start with an interruptible mini-lecture on my part; only after we’ve covered the basics of the articles and how they
relate to each other will we move to discussion. I do this to ensure that you understood the basic assumptions, mechanisms, and
implications of each theory, and will consequently often contain a Socratic component. This is also a good time to ask one of your
questions! Sometimes this will take up almost the entire class period. This is another reason to post your question/observation to
Moodle in advance so I can get a sense of where you are stuck or what you are interested in and incorporate that into the
mini lecture part. As the class progresses and as we move from theory to practice, we will dedicate more time to
the discussion portion of class. Sometimes we will not get to all of the readings or very far in the discussion. This
is deliberate; you will still benefit from the context provided by those pieces even if we don’t discuss them. If we
miss something in class, you are most welcome to post (or re-post) your question/observation to Moodle after the
class.
If you miss a day of class for any reason whatsoever, you may make it up by posting a summary of each of the readings for that day to
Moodle. In order to make up missed days from the first half of the semester, these must be posted before the first day of classes after
the break; from the second half, by the end of reading period. If you are sick, do NOT come to class and spread it to the rest of
us. Instead, stay home, write your summaries up (which all of you should be doing every day in any case), and get
better.
Readings
Readings for the course are drawn from four books and E-Readings, which can be downloaded directly from the links on
Moodle. These are best used in conjunction with Zotero, which is supported by the library. Students are expected to
bring a copy of the readings to class every day for reference. Laptops are not permitted in class; tablet devices may
be used. Readings marked “Further” on the syllabus are other relevant articles or books; they are not required for
class. Students who have a particular interest in the topics in question are encouraged to read these pieces and to
incorporate them into their assignments. Four books are available online; two of them are available as e-books at the
library.
Required Books
- Charles D Ferguson (2011) Nuclear Energy. New York, New York: Oxford University Press <http://www.worldcat.org/oclc/721999095>, ISBN 9780199759460[Library eBook][Amazon][Google]
- Jacques E. C. Hymans (2012) Achieving Nuclear Ambitions: Scientists, Politicians and Proliferation. Cambridge
University Press, ISBN 0521767008[Library eBook][Amazon][Google][eBooks]
- John E Mueller (2010) Atomic Obsession: Nuclear Alarmism from Hiroshima to Al-Qaeda. Oxford; New
York: Oxford University Press <http://www.worldcat.org/oclc/313665231>, ISBN 0199837090[Library
eBook][Amazon][eBooks]
- Scott D. Sagan (1993) The Limits of Safety: Organizations, Accidents, and Nuclear Weapons. Princeton, NJ:
Princeton University Press <http://www.worldcat.org/oclc/27429286>, 279, ISBN 0691021015[Amazon]
|
Course Website
Discussion and collaboration is available to you through the website; supplemental and core readings will be made available there; and
assignments will be turned in electronically using the site.
Assignments
There are two assignments for this course. The first is a short (1250-2500) word piece due Friday, October 14 at 5 PM, for which you
will have three options: write a dossier on one of the POL 240 simulation states; write an essay on why a state did or did not go
nuclear; or turn in an initial proposal and outline for your final paper. The second is a lengthy (3750-5000 words, or 2500-3750 if you
picked one of the first two options) essay analyzing anything related to nuclear politics; it is due on Wednesday, December 7 at 5
PM.
Citation and Plagiarism
A major goal of this course is to encourage good reading, research, and citation habits. Good research requires good documentation of
sources and the ability to put one’s own analysis and thoughts into a paper rather than relying on others. When in doubt as to whether
you should cite something, always do it. Citations are required for ideas as well as facts, and are imperative even if you are not directly
quoting authors. Make sure that you provide as specific a citation as possible; if an author discusses an idea in one
section or one page, cite the specific section or page instead of the full article or book. I usually recommend that
students use in-text author-date citation with full Chicago Manual of Style citations; see their Citation Quick Guide: <http://www.chicagomanualofstyle.org/tools˙citationguide.html>.
However, style is less important than the cites being present. If you use an idea or a fact without attribution, you are plagiarizing
someone else’s work. Plagiarism and cheating are violations of academic integrity and thus violations of Reed’s Honor Principle. As
specified by Reed’s academic conduct policy, such violations will result in disciplinary actions, including suspension or permanent
dismissal from the College. Plagiarism is submitting a piece of work which in part or in whole is not entirely the student’s own work
without attributing those same portions to their correct source. For examples of plagiarism and how to avoid it, see <http://tinyurl.com/jdlrbd3>. If nothing else, you should avoid “sinister buttocks” syndrome. For more information on Reed’s policies
see: <http://www.reed.edu/academic/gbook/comm˙pol/acad˙conduct.html>.
Plagiarism often comes as the result of a student being up against a deadline without being able to meet it. If you are having trouble
meeting a deadline for whatever reason, please contact me. Because every assignment is a paper that will be handed out well in
advance, I have no problem giving extensions. It is always better to ask for more time than to plagiarize. When you ask for an
extension, you should a)explain what events are causing you to miss the deadline and b)request an amount of time proportional to the
interfering events. You may ask for an extension up to, but not exceeding, the amount of time remaining for the assignment, except for
cases of emergencies.
Accommodations
If you’d like to request academic accommodations due to a disability, please contact Disability Support Services. If you have a letter
from Student Services, please let me know so we can discuss those accommodations.
31-Aug: 01.2. The Bomb, Dread, + Eternity: The Atomic Cafe (film) (39 Pages)
-
John E
Mueller (2010)
Apocalyptic
Visions,
Worst-Case
Preoccupations,
Massive
Expenditures. In
Mueller
Atomic
Obsession. chapter 5,
55–72
-
Michael
Mandelbaum (1980)
The
Bomb,
Dread,
and
Eternity. International
Security. 5(2)Autumn,
3–23
<http://dx.doi.org/10.2307/2538442>
Further
7-Sep: 02.1. Technology: How do you make a nuclear weapon? What can they do? (144 Pages)
-
John E
Mueller (2010)
Effects. In
Mueller
Atomic
Obsession. chapter 1,
3–15
-
John E
Mueller (2010)
Overstating
the
Effects. In
Mueller
Atomic
Obsession. chapter 2,
17–28
-
Charles D
Ferguson (2011)
Fundamentals. In
Ferguson
Nuclear
Energy. chapter 1,
3–52
-
Dietrich
Schroeer (1984)
Chap. 2-3
in
Science,
technology,
and
the
nuclear
arms
race. New
York,
NY:
Wiley,
14–71,
ISBN
0471881414
-
Lynn
Eden (2004)
City
on
Fire. Bulletin
of
the
Atomic
Scientists. 60(1)January/February,
33–43
<http://dx.doi.org/10.2968/060001011>
Further
-
Robert
Serber (1943)
The
Los
Alamos
primer:
the
first
lectures
on
how
to
build
an
atomic
bomb. Los
Alamos
National
Laboratory
Los
Alamos
Report
LA-1
<http://www.fas.org/sgp/othergov/doe/lanl/docs1/00349710.pdf>
-
E. R.
McConnell,
G. O.
Sampson,
and
J. M.
Sharf (1956)
The
Effect
of
Nuclear
Explosions
on
Commercially
Packaged
Beverages. Food
and
Drug
Administration
Technical
report
WT-1213
<http://www.thesmokinggun.com/archive/nuclearcan1.html>
-
Herbert F.
York (1976)
The
GAC
Report
of
October
30,
1949. In
The
Advisors
:
Oppenheimer,
Teller,
and
the
Superbomb.
San
Francisco,
CA:
W.
H.
Freeman,
ISBN
0716707187,
150–159
-
Samuel
Glasstone
and
Philip J.
Dolan (1977)
Chap. 12
in
The
Effects
of
Nuclear
Weapons. United
States
Government
Printing,
541–643,
ISBN
0160020360
-
Lynn
Eden (2003)
Whole
World
on
Fire. Ithaca,
NY:
Cornell
University
Press
<http://www.loc.gov/catdir/toc/ecip045/2003012695.html>,
ISBN
0801435781
-
Lynn
Eden (2003)
Introduction. In
Eden
Whole
World
on
Fire,
1–36
-
Lynn
Eden (2003)
Chap. 1
In
Eden
Whole
World
on
Fire
-
Lynn
Eden (2003)
Complete
Ruin. In
Eden
Whole
World
on
Fire. chapter 1,
15–36
-
Lynn
Eden (2003)
Introduction. In
Eden
Whole
World
on
Fire,
283–304
-
R. Scott
Kemp (2012)
The
End
of
Manhattan:
How
the
Gas
Centrifuge
Changed
the
Quest
for
Nuclear
Weapons. Technology
and
Culture. 53(2),
272–305
<http://dx.doi.org/10.1353/tech.2012.0046>,
ISSN
1097–3729
-
R. Scott
Kemp (2012)
Centrifuges:
A
New
Era
for
Nuclear
Proliferation. In
Henry D.
Sokolski,
editor
Nuclear
Nonproliferation:
Moving
beyond
Pretense.
Nonproliferation
Policy
Education
Center
<http://www.npolicy.org/userfiles/image/oving%20Beyond%20Pretense%20web%20version.pdf#page=58> –
visited
on
2013-06-27. chapter 3,
53–81
-
Patrick
Migliorini et al. (2013)
Iranian
Breakout
Estimates,
Updated
September
2013. October
24
ISIS
Report
<http://isis-online.org/uploads/isis-reports/documents/Breakout˙Study˙24October2013.pdf> –
visited
on
2014-06-17
-
Iranian
Nuclear
Energy
Program (2014)
How
Long
Would
an
Iranian
‘Breakout’
Really
Take?
June
NuclearEnergy.ir
website
<http://nuclearenergy.ir/iranian-scientific-review-timeline-hypothetical-breakout/> –
visited
on
2014-06-17
-
R. Scott
Kemp (2014)
The
Nonproliferation
Emperor
Has
No
Clothes. International
Security. 38(4)Summer,
39–78
7-Sep: 02.2. Hiroshima: Why did we use the bomb? Should we have? Will we? (67 Pages)
Further
-
Rufus E.
Miles,
Jr. (1985)
Hiroshima:
The
Strange
Myth
of
Half
a
Million
American
Lives
Saved. International
Security. 10(2)Autumn,
121–140
<http://dx.doi.org/10.2307/2538830>,
ISSN
01622889
-
Barton J.
Bernstein (1991)
Eclipsed
by
Hiroshima
and
Nagasaki:
Early
Thinking
about
Tactical
Nuclear
Weapons. International
Security. 15(4)Spring,
149–173
<http://dx.doi.org/10.2307/2539014>,
ISSN
01622889
Review
14-Sep: 03.1. Nuclear Power: What are the Benefits? (56 Pages)
-
Charles D
Ferguson (2011)
Energy
Security
and
Costs
of
Building
Power
Plants. In
Ferguson
Nuclear
Energy. chapter 2,
53–85
-
Charles D
Ferguson (2011)
Climate
Change. In
Ferguson
Nuclear
Energy. chapter 3,
86–102
-
Charles D
Ferguson (2011)
Sustainable
Energy. In
Ferguson
Nuclear
Energy. chapter 8,
203–208
14-Sep: 03.2. Nuclear Power: What are the Risks? (198 Pages)
-
Charles D
Ferguson (2011)
Safety. In
Ferguson
Nuclear
Energy. chapter 5,
137–172
-
Charles D
Ferguson (2011)
Physical
Security. In
Ferguson
Nuclear
Energy. chapter 6,
173–188
-
Charles D
Ferguson (2011)
Radioactive
Waste
Management. In
Ferguson
Nuclear
Energy. chapter 7,
189–202
-
Baruch
Fischhoff et al. (1978)
How
Safe
is
Safe
Enough?
A
Psychometric
Study
of
Attitudes
Towards
Technological
Risks
and
Benefits. Policy
Sciences. 9(2)April ,
127–152
<http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/BF00143739>,
ISSN
0032–2687,
1573–0891
-
George W.
Hinman et al. (1993)
Perceptions
of
Nuclear
and
Other
Risks
in
Japan
and
the
United
States. Risk
Analysis. 13(4)August,
449–455
<http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1539-6924.1993.tb00745.x>
-
Paul R.
Schulman (1993)
The
Negotiated
Order
of
Organizational
Reliability. Administration
and
Society. 25(3)November ,
353–372
<http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/009539979302500305>
-
Charles
Perrow (1999)
Chap. 1-2
in
Normal
Accidents:
Living
with
High-Risk
Technologies. New
York,
NY:
Basic
Books,
15–61,
ISBN
046505143X
-
Frank N.
von Hippel (2011)
The
Radiological
and
Psychological
Consequences
of
the
Fukushima
Daiichi
Accident. Bulletin
of
the
Atomic
Scientists. 67(5)September/October,
27–36
<http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/0096340211421588>
-
Allison
Macfarlane (2011)
It’s
2050:
Do
You
Know
where
Your
Nuclear
Waste
is?
Bulletin
of
the
Atomic
Scientists. 67(4)July ,
30–36
<http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/0096340211413357>
-
Charles
Perrow (2011)
Fukushima
and
the
Inevitability
of
Accidents. Bulletin
of
the
Atomic
Scientists. 67(6)November/December,
44–52
<http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/0096340211426395>
-
M. V.
Ramana (2011)
Beyond
Our
Imagination:
Fukushima
and
the
Problem
of
Assessing
Risk. April
19
Bulletin
of
the
Atomic
Scientists
website
<http://thebulletin.org/web-edition/features/beyond-our-imagination-fukushima-and-the-problem-of-assessing-risk>
Further
21-Sep: 04.1. Motives: Why do states seek the bomb? (109 Pages)
-
John E
Mueller (2010)
Proliferation:
Slow
and
Substantially
Inconsequential. In
Mueller
Atomic
Obsession. chapter 7,
89–102
-
John E
Mueller (2010)
The
Limited
Appeal
and
Value
of
Nuclear
Weapons. In
Mueller
Atomic
Obsession. chapter 8,
103–114
-
Avner
Cohen
and
Joseph F.
Pilat (1998)
Assessing
Virtual
Nuclear
Arsenals. Survival. 40(1),
129–144
<http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/survival/40.1.129>,
ISSN
0039–6338
-
Ariel E.
Levite (2002/2003)
Never
Say
Never
Again:
Nuclear
Reversal
Revisited. International
Security. 27(3)Winter,
59–88
<http://dx.doi.org/10.1162/01622880260553633>
-
Itty
Abraham (2006)
The
Ambivalence
of
Nuclear
Histories. Osiris. 21(1)February,
49–65
<http://dx.doi.org/10.1086/507135>
-
Scott D.
Sagan (2011)
The
Causes
of
Nuclear
Weapons
Proliferation. Annual
Review
of
Political
Science. 14(1),
225–244
<http://dx.doi.org/10.1146/annurev-polisci-052209-131042>,
ISSN
1094–2939
Further
-
Scott D.
Sagan (1996/97)
Why
Do
States
Build
Nuclear
Weapons?
Three
Models
in
Search
of
a
Bomb. International
Security. 21(3)Winter,
54–86
<http://dx.doi.org/10.2307/2539273>
-
Tanya
Ogilvie-White (1996)
Is
There
a
Theory
of
Nuclear
Proliferation?
An
Analysis
of
the
Contemporary
Debate. Nonproliferation
Review. 4(1)Fall,
43–60
-
Itty
Abraham (2004)
Notes
toward
a
Global
Nuclear
History. Economic
and
Political
Weekly. 39(46/47)November ,
4997–5005
<http://dx.doi.org/10.2307/4415803>,
ISSN
0012–9976
-
Jacques
E. C.
Hymans (2006)
Theories
of
Nuclear
Proliferation:
The
State
of
the
Field. Nonproliferation
Review. 13(3)November,
455–465
<http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/10736700601071397>
-
Itty
Abraham (2010)
’Who’s
Next?’
Nuclear
Ambivalence
and
the
Contradictions
of
Non-Proliferation
Policy. Economic
and
Political
Weekly. October <http://www.epw.in/special-articles/whos-next-nuclear-ambivalence-and-contradictions-non-proliferation-policy.html> –
visited
on
2013-06-27
-
Jacques
E. C.
Hymans (2010)
When
Does
a
State
Become
a
“Nuclear
Weapons
State”?
An
Exercise
in
Measurement
Validation. In
Potter
and
Mukhatzhanova
Forecasting
Nuclear
Proliferation
Volume
1. chapter 6,
102–123
-
Scott D.
Sagan (2010)
Nuclear
Latency
and
Nuclear
Proliferation. In
Potter
and
Mukhatzhanova
Forecasting
Nuclear
Proliferation
Volume
1. chapter 5,
80–101
-
Atsushi
Tago
and
J. David
Singer (2011)
Predicting
the
Horizontal
Proliferation
of
Nuclear. Kobe
University
law
review. 45,
51–68
<http://www.lib.kobe-u.ac.jp/repository/81004339.pdf> –
visited
on
2013-07-06
-
Jacques E.C.
Hymans
and
Matthew S.
Gratias (2013)
Iran
and
the
Nuclear
Threshold. The
Nonproliferation
Review. 20(1),
13–38
<http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/10736700.2013.769375>,
ISSN
1073–6700
-
Philipp C.
Bleek
and
Eric B.
Lorber (2014)
Security
Guarantees
and
Allied
Nuclear
Proliferation. Journal
of
Conflict
Resolution. 58(3)April ,
429–454
<http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/0022002713509050>,
ISSN
0022–0027,
1552–8766
-
Matthew
Fuhrmann
and
Todd S.
Sechser (2014)
Nuclear
Strategy,
Nonproliferation,
and
the
Causes
of
Foreign
Nuclear
Deployments. Journal
of
Conflict
Resolution. 58(3)April ,
455–480
<http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/0022002713509055>,
ISSN
0022–0027,
1552–8766
-
Erik
Gartzke,
Jeffrey M.
Kaplow,
and
Rupal N.
Mehta (2014)
The
Determinants
of
Nuclear
Force
Structure. Journal
of
Conflict
Resolution. 58(3)April ,
481–508
<http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/0022002713509054>,
ISSN
0022–0027,
1552–8766
21-Sep: 04.2. Motives: How do we know? (97 Pages)
Further
28-Sep: 05.1. Intel: Can we really know who is seeking the bomb? (104 Pages)
-
Defence
Intelligence
Agency (1974)
PRC
Strategic
Forces:
How
Much
is
Enough?
Department
of
Defense
Defense
Intelligence
Estimate
DIE
FE
7-74,
4
pages
-
Jeffrey T.
Richelson (1994)
Can
the
Intelligence
Community
Keep
Pace
with
the
Threat?
In
Mitchell
Reiss
and
Robert S.
Litwak,
editors
Nuclear
Proliferation
after
the
Cold
War.
Washington,
DC:
Woodrow
Wilson
Center
Press,
Woodrow
Wilson
Center
special
studies,
ISBN
0943875579. chapter 13,
291–308
-
David
Albright (2003)
Iraq’s
Aluminum
Tubes:
Separating
Fact
from
Fiction. December
5
<http://www.isis-online.org/publications/iraq/IraqAluminumTubes12-5-03.pdf>
-
National
Intelligence
Council (2007)
Iran:
Nuclear
Intentions
and
Capabilities. Office
of
the
Director
of
National
Intelligence
National
Intelligence
Estimate,
9
pages
-
Hui
Zhang (2012)
The
Defensive
Nature
of
China’s
”Underground
Great
Wall”. January
16
Bulletin
of
the
Atomic
Scientists
website
<http://www.thebulletin.org/web-edition/features/the-defensive-nature-of-chinas-underground-great-wall>
-
Alexander H.
Montgomery
and
Adam
Mount (2014)
Misestimation:
Explaining
US
Failures
to
Predict
Nuclear
Weapons
Programs. Intelligence
and
National
Security. 29(3),
357–386
<http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/02684527.2014.895593>,
ISSN
0268–4527
Further
-
James M.
Acton (2014)
International
Verification
and
Intelligence. Intelligence
and
National
Security. 29(3),
341–356
<http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/02684527.2014.895592>,
ISSN
0268–4527
-
Kristen A.
Lau
and
Kevin C.
Desouza (2014)
Intelligence
and
Nuclear
Non-Proliferation
Programs:
The
Achilles
Heel. Intelligence
and
National
Security. 29(3),
387–431
<http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/02684527.2014.895594>,
ISSN
0268–4527
-
Tanya
Ogilvie-White (2014)
The
IAEA
and
the
International
Politics
of
Nuclear
Intelligence. Intelligence
and
National
Security. 29(3),
323–340
<http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/02684527.2014.895591>,
ISSN
0268–4527
-
Maria
Ryan (2014)
Wilful
Blindness
or
Blissful
Ignorance?
The
United
States
and
the
Successful
Denuclearization
of
Iraq. Intelligence
and
National
Security. 29(3),
458–486
<http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/02684527.2014.895596>,
ISSN
0268–4527
-
Paul
Schulte (2014)
Proliferation,
Intelligence
and
the
Case
for
Normalizing
a
Technical
Accountability
Obligation
in
Arms
Control. Intelligence
and
National
Security. 29(3),
432–457
<http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/02684527.2014.895595>,
ISSN
0268–4527
28-Sep: 05.2. Strategy: What should we do with it? (95 Pages)
Further
-
Bernard
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