Math 141
Introduction to Probability and Statistics

Office Hours

M,W,F 10-11am
I am usually in my office at other times, as well.

Nonlinear Models

R examples


Bootstrapping
Residuals Examples
Multiple Regression Example
BP analysis
Cook's Distance Examples
Guns and Babies
Factor + Dummy Variable Examples
Overfitting Examples
F test vs t test example
Maximum Likelihood
Likelihood CI's
Poisson loglinear models
Bayesian Inference Example
RadioCarbon dating

Carbon Dating links
Age determinations by radiocarbon content: checks with samples of known age
Arnold, J.R.; Libby, W.F. (1949). Science. 110 (2869): 678-680.
IntCal13 Report on the most recent calibration curve.
Northern Hemisphere atmospheric radiocarbon calibration curve

Assignments

  1. Due Friday, 27 January
    Chapter 2 Exercises 2,3 (page 19).
  2. Due Friday, 3 Feb.
    Read Chapter 3. Homework will be assigned in the Lab sessions. The lab notes will be Random Permutations and Binomial Probability Computations.
  3. Due Friday, 10 Feb.
    Read Ch 4. Do Sec. 4.4 Exercises 1, 2, 3, 6.
    Lab: Expected values, exercises under "Life Expectancy".
  4. Due Friday, 17 Feb.
    Read Chapter 5.
    Sec 4.4, Exercise 8.
    Sec 5.2, Exercises 1, 2, 3.
    Lab: R Markdown
  5. Due Friday, 24 Feb.
    Read Chapter 6.
    sec 6.8 Exercises 1,2.
    Lab: Inference for the Binomial
    Read The Truth Wears Off (Is there something wrong with the scientific method?) and comment briefly.
    Another interesting article: Why Most Published Research Findings Are False
  6. Due Friday 3 Mar.
    Read Chapters 7, 8.
    Lab: Inference for Normal Distributions
    Note Quiz Friday on Hypothesis Tests
  7. Due Friday, 10 Mar.
    Read Chapter 9.
    Lab: Graphical Methods in R
    Note ReQuiz Friday on Hypothesis Tests
  8. Due Friday, 24 Mar.
    Lab: Basic Least squares and Inference
  9. Due Friday, 31 Mar.
    Lab: Multiple Regression
    Quiz Friday! Normal quantile plots!
  10. Due Friday 7 Apr.
    Lab: anova() and the F-test
  11. Due Friday, 21 Apr.
    Lab: Logistic Regression, assignment distributed in class
    Quiz! Friday, F-tests, t-tests and CI's for the linear model.

Reed Data Resources