# LaTeX2HTML 95 (Thu Jan 19 1995)
# Associate image original text (scrambled) with physical files.
$key = q/{table}centerlabelt2tabularlcc;SPM_amp;GulfWarVote;SPM_amp;ThomasVotehlinebfAccuracyofRecall;SPM_amp;;SPM_amp;PercentageCorrect;SPM_amp;58.8%;SPM_amp;57.8%PercentageIncorrect;SPM_amp;41.4%;SPM_amp;42.2%FalsePositives;SPM_amp;42.7%;SPM_amp;47.8%FalseNegatives;SPM_amp;37.5%;SPM_amp;31.9%bfAccuracyofGuess;SPM_amp;;SPM_amp;PercentageCorrect;SPM_amp;55.6%;SPM_amp;51.2%PercentageIncorrect;SPM_amp;44.4%;SPM_amp;48.8%FalsePositives;SPM_amp;43.7%;SPM_amp;52.0%FalseNegatives;SPM_amp;46.8%;SPM_amp;42.6%hlinetabularcenter{table}/;
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$key = q/{table}centerlabelt3-guesstabularlcc|ccIndepent;SPM_amp;multicolumn2cGulfWarVote;SPM_amp;multicolumn2cThomasVoteVariables;SPM_amp;Estimates;SPM_amp;Effects;SPM_amp;Estimates;SPM_amp;EffectshlineConstant;SPM_amp;-12.1*;SPM_amp;;SPM_amp;-3.8;SPM_amp;;SPM_amp;7.1;SPM_amp;;SPM_amp;7.1;SPM_amp;MediaAttn.;SPM_amp;-.03;SPM_amp;-.01;SPM_amp;.06;SPM_amp;.02;SPM_amp;.09;SPM_amp;.04;SPM_amp;.10;SPM_amp;.04Pol.Info;SPM_amp;-.13;SPM_amp;-.05;SPM_amp;.09;SPM_amp;.03;SPM_amp;.12;SPM_amp;.05;SPM_amp;.13;SPM_amp;.05Partisan;SPM_amp;.14*;SPM_amp;.06*;SPM_amp;.12*;SPM_amp;.05*Agreement;SPM_amp;.06;SPM_amp;.02;SPM_amp;.06;SPM_amp;.02Extremity;SPM_amp;.0005;SPM_amp;.0002;SPM_amp;-.002;SPM_amp;-.0009;SPM_amp;.002;SPM_amp;.0007;SPM_amp;.002;SPM_amp;.0007Tenure;SPM_amp;.006*;SPM_amp;.002*;SPM_amp;.002;SPM_amp;.0008;SPM_amp;.004;SPM_amp;.001;SPM_amp;.004;SPM_amp;.001Reelection;SPM_amp;.01;SPM_amp;.005;SPM_amp;-.10;SPM_amp;-.04;SPM_amp;.07;SPM_amp;.03;SPM_amp;.07;SPM_amp;.03_inline$chi^2$_inline;SPM_amp;11.06;SPM_amp;;SPM_amp;9.11;SPM_amp;N;SPM_amp;2165;SPM_amp;;SPM_amp;2073;SPM_amp;hlinetabularparbox5inNote:Foreachmodel,weprovidemaximum-likelihoodprobitestimatesintheleft-mostcolumn,withtheirstandarderrorsbelow.Thenextcolumnforeachmodelpresentsthemarginaleffectsofeachvariable;themarginaleffectsforthecontinuousvariablesarethedifferenceinprobabilityachievedbymovingthevariableoneunitfromthesamplemean,whileforthebinaryvariablesitisthedifferenceinprobabilityachievedbymovingthevariablefromzerotoone.*denotesandestimatestatisticallysignificantatthep=.05level,one-tailedtest.center{table}/;
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$key = q/{centering}vspace.1inlargeConstituentsandKnowledgeofSenateRollCallVoteslargevspace.5inR.MichaelAlvarezemCaliforniaInstituteofTechnologyemphrma@hss.caltech.eduvspace.125inPaulGronkeemDukeUniversityemphgronke@acpub.duke.eduvspace.5intoday{centering}/;
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$key = q/{table}centerlabelt3-recalltabularlcc|ccIndepent;SPM_amp;multicolumn2cGulfWarVote;SPM_amp;multicolumn2cThomasVoteVariables;SPM_amp;Estimates;SPM_amp;Effects;SPM_amp;Estimates;SPM_amp;EffectshlineConstant;SPM_amp;20.4*;SPM_amp;;SPM_amp;42.1*;SPM_amp;;SPM_amp;9.8;SPM_amp;;SPM_amp;11.8;SPM_amp;MediaAttn.;SPM_amp;-.002;SPM_amp;-.0006;SPM_amp;.18;SPM_amp;.07;SPM_amp;.16;SPM_amp;.06;SPM_amp;.19;SPM_amp;.07Pol.Info;SPM_amp;.43*;SPM_amp;.16*;SPM_amp;.09;SPM_amp;.04;SPM_amp;.19;SPM_amp;.07;SPM_amp;.21;SPM_amp;.08Partisan;SPM_amp;.08;SPM_amp;.03;SPM_amp;.07;SPM_amp;.03Agreement;SPM_amp;.08;SPM_amp;.03;SPM_amp;.10;SPM_amp;.04Extremity;SPM_amp;-.008*;SPM_amp;-.003*;SPM_amp;-.01*;SPM_amp;-.004*;SPM_amp;.003;SPM_amp;.001;SPM_amp;.003;SPM_amp;.001Tenure;SPM_amp;-.01*;SPM_amp;-.004*;SPM_amp;-.02*;SPM_amp;-.008*;SPM_amp;.005;SPM_amp;.002;SPM_amp;.006;SPM_amp;.002Reelection;SPM_amp;.02;SPM_amp;.009;SPM_amp;-.24*;SPM_amp;-.10*;SPM_amp;.10;SPM_amp;.04;SPM_amp;.12;SPM_amp;.05_inline$chi^2$_inline;SPM_amp;19.12;SPM_amp;;SPM_amp;30.4;SPM_amp;N;SPM_amp;958;SPM_amp;;SPM_amp;722;SPM_amp;hlinetabularparbox5inNote:Foreachmodel,weprovidemaximum-likelihoodprobitestimatesintheleft-mostcolumn,withtheirstandarderrorsbelow.Thenextcolumnforeachmodelpresentsthemarginaleffectsofeachvariable;themarginaleffectsforthecontinuousvariablesarethedifferenceinprobabilityachievedbymovingthevariableoneunitfromthesamplemean,whileforthebinaryvariablesitisthedifferenceinprobabilityachievedbymovingthevariablefromzerotoone.*denotesandestimatestatisticallysignificantatthep=.05level,one-tailedtest.center{table}/;
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$key = q/{table}centerlabelt3tabularlcc|ccIndepent;SPM_amp;multicolumn2cGulfWarVote;SPM_amp;multicolumn2cThomasVoteVariables;SPM_amp;Estimates;SPM_amp;Effects;SPM_amp;Estimates;SPM_amp;EffectshlineConstant;SPM_amp;-12.1*;SPM_amp;;SPM_amp;-3.8;SPM_amp;;SPM_amp;7.1;SPM_amp;;SPM_amp;7.1;SPM_amp;MediaAttn.;SPM_amp;-.03;SPM_amp;-.01;SPM_amp;.06;SPM_amp;.02;SPM_amp;.09;SPM_amp;.04;SPM_amp;.10;SPM_amp;.04Pol.Info;SPM_amp;-.13;SPM_amp;-.05;SPM_amp;.09;SPM_amp;.03;SPM_amp;.12;SPM_amp;.05;SPM_amp;.13;SPM_amp;.05Partisan;SPM_amp;.14*;SPM_amp;.06*;SPM_amp;.12*;SPM_amp;.05*Agreement;SPM_amp;.06;SPM_amp;.02;SPM_amp;.06;SPM_amp;.02Extremity;SPM_amp;.0005;SPM_amp;.0002;SPM_amp;-.002;SPM_amp;-.0009;SPM_amp;.002;SPM_amp;.0007;SPM_amp;.002;SPM_amp;.0007Tenure;SPM_amp;.006*;SPM_amp;.002*;SPM_amp;.002;SPM_amp;.0008;SPM_amp;.004;SPM_amp;.001;SPM_amp;.004;SPM_amp;.001Reelection;SPM_amp;.01;SPM_amp;.005;SPM_amp;-.10;SPM_amp;-.04;SPM_amp;.07;SPM_amp;.03;SPM_amp;.07;SPM_amp;.03_inline$chi^2$_inline;SPM_amp;11.06;SPM_amp;;SPM_amp;9.11;SPM_amp;N;SPM_amp;2165;SPM_amp;;SPM_amp;2073;SPM_amp;hlinetabularparbox5inNote:Foreachmodel,weprovidemaximum-likelihoodprobitestimatesintheleft-mostcolumn,withtheirstandarderrorsbelow.Thenextcolumnforeachmodelpresentsthemarginaleffectsofeachvariable;themarginaleffectsforthecontinuousvariablesarethedifferenceinprobabilityachievedbymovingthevariableoneunitfromthesamplemean,whileforthebinaryvariablesitisthedifferenceinprobabilityachievedbymovingthevariablefromzerotoone.*denotesandestimatestatisticallysignificantatthep=.05level,one-tailedtest.center{table}/;
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$key = q/{table}centerlabelt3tabularlcc|ccIndepent;SPM_amp;multicolumn2cGulfWarVote;SPM_amp;multicolumn2cThomasVoteVariables;SPM_amp;Estimates;SPM_amp;Effects;SPM_amp;Estimates;SPM_amp;EffectshlineConstant;SPM_amp;20.4*;SPM_amp;;SPM_amp;42.1*;SPM_amp;;SPM_amp;9.8;SPM_amp;;SPM_amp;11.8;SPM_amp;MediaAttn.;SPM_amp;-.002;SPM_amp;-.0006;SPM_amp;.18;SPM_amp;.07;SPM_amp;.16;SPM_amp;.06;SPM_amp;.19;SPM_amp;.07Pol.Info;SPM_amp;.43*;SPM_amp;.16*;SPM_amp;.09;SPM_amp;.04;SPM_amp;.19;SPM_amp;.07;SPM_amp;.21;SPM_amp;.08Partisan;SPM_amp;.08;SPM_amp;.03;SPM_amp;.07;SPM_amp;.03Agreement;SPM_amp;.08;SPM_amp;.03;SPM_amp;.10;SPM_amp;.04Extremity;SPM_amp;-.008*;SPM_amp;-.003*;SPM_amp;-.01*;SPM_amp;-.004*;SPM_amp;.003;SPM_amp;.001;SPM_amp;.003;SPM_amp;.001Tenure;SPM_amp;-.01*;SPM_amp;-.004*;SPM_amp;-.02*;SPM_amp;-.008*;SPM_amp;.005;SPM_amp;.002;SPM_amp;.006;SPM_amp;.002Reelection;SPM_amp;.02;SPM_amp;.009;SPM_amp;-.24*;SPM_amp;-.10*;SPM_amp;.10;SPM_amp;.04;SPM_amp;.12;SPM_amp;.05_inline$chi^2$_inline;SPM_amp;19.12;SPM_amp;;SPM_amp;30.4;SPM_amp;N;SPM_amp;958;SPM_amp;;SPM_amp;722;SPM_amp;hlinetabularparbox5inNote:Foreachmodel,weprovidemaximum-likelihoodprobitestimatesintheleft-mostcolumn,withtheirstandarderrorsbelow.Thenextcolumnforeachmodelpresentsthemarginaleffectsofeachvariable;themarginaleffectsforthecontinuousvariablesarethedifferenceinprobabilityachievedbymovingthevariableoneunitfromthesamplemean,whileforthebinaryvariablesitisthedifferenceinprobabilityachievedbymovingthevariablefromzerotoone.*denotesandestimatestatisticallysignificantatthep=.05level,one-tailedtest.center{table}/;
$cached_env_img{$key} ='
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$key = q/{table}centerlabelt3tabularlcc|ccIndepent;SPM_amp;multicolumn2cGulfWarVote;SPM_amp;multicolumn2cThomasVoteVariables;SPM_amp;Estimates;SPM_amp;Effects;SPM_amp;Estimates;SPM_amp;EffectshlineConstant;SPM_amp;11.5*;SPM_amp;;SPM_amp;-4.2;SPM_amp;;SPM_amp;5.7;SPM_amp;;SPM_amp;6.1;SPM_amp;MediaAttn.;SPM_amp;.71*;SPM_amp;.22*;SPM_amp;.67*;SPM_amp;.17*;SPM_amp;.08;SPM_amp;.03;SPM_amp;.09;SPM_amp;.02Pol.Info;SPM_amp;1.3*;SPM_amp;.39*;SPM_amp;1.1*;SPM_amp;.28*;SPM_amp;.11;SPM_amp;.03;SPM_amp;.11;SPM_amp;.03Partisan;SPM_amp;.06;SPM_amp;.02;SPM_amp;.12*;SPM_amp;.03*Agreement;SPM_amp;.05;SPM_amp;.01;SPM_amp;.05;SPM_amp;.01Extremity;SPM_amp;.0002;SPM_amp;.00009;SPM_amp;.0002;SPM_amp;.00004;SPM_amp;.002;SPM_amp;.0005;SPM_amp;.002;SPM_amp;.0004Tenure;SPM_amp;-.007*;SPM_amp;-.002;SPM_amp;.001;SPM_amp;.0003;SPM_amp;.003;SPM_amp;.0009;SPM_amp;.003;SPM_amp;.0008Reelection;SPM_amp;.17*;SPM_amp;.05*;SPM_amp;.14*;SPM_amp;.04*;SPM_amp;.06;SPM_amp;.02;SPM_amp;.06;SPM_amp;.02_inline$chi^2$_inline;SPM_amp;289.44;SPM_amp;;SPM_amp;209.15;SPM_amp;N;SPM_amp;3867;SPM_amp;;SPM_amp;3862;SPM_amp;hlinetabularparbox5inNote:Foreachmodel,weprovidemaximum-likelihoodprobitestimatesintheleft-mostcolumn,withtheirstandarderrorsbelow.Thenextcolumnforeachmodelpresentsthemarginaleffectsofeachvariable;themarginaleffectsforthecontinuousvariablesarethedifferenceinprobabilityachievedbymovingthevariableoneunitfromthesamplemean,whileforthebinaryvariablesitisthedifferenceinprobabilityachievedbymovingthevariablefromzerotoone.*denotesandestimatestatisticallysignificantatthep=.05level,one-tailedtest.center{table}/;
$cached_env_img{$key} ='';
$key = q/{table}centerlabelt1tabularlccSurveyQuestion:;SPM_amp;GulfWarVote;SPM_amp;ThomasVotehlinebfVoteKnowledge;SPM_amp;;SPM_amp;KnowsVote;SPM_amp;24.8%;SPM_amp;18.6%DoesNotKnowVote;SPM_amp;75.2%;SPM_amp;81.4%bfVoteRecall;SPM_amp;;SPM_amp;YeaVote;SPM_amp;70.1%;SPM_amp;64.9%NayVote;SPM_amp;29.9%;SPM_amp;35.1%bfVoteGuess;SPM_amp;;SPM_amp;YeaVote;SPM_amp;69.0%;SPM_amp;65.7%NayVote;SPM_amp;31.0%;SPM_amp;34.3%hlinetabularcenter{table}/;
$cached_env_img{$key} ='
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1;